COMMENTARY
Reporting periods
Kumba Iron Ore Limited (“Kumba”) commenced trading in November 2006,
following the unbundling of Kumba from Exxaro Resources Limited, formerly
Kumba Resources Limited (“Exxaro”).
Where reference is made to the six month period from 1 January 2006 to
30 June 2006, or to the 12 month period from 1 January 2006 to 31 December
2006, readers are advised that this supplementary information has been
prepared from financial information reported by Exxaro and is unaudited. The
unaudited comparative figures are provided purely for comparison purposes.
Introduction
In the six months ended 30 June 2007, Kumba increased revenue by 35% on the
back of higher sales volumes, increased benchmark prices and quality premia on
certain products. Increased mining activity at the Sishen Mine resulted in total
tonnes mined increasing 23% from 41,5 million tonnes (“Mt”) to 51,2 Mt over
the period. Operating expenses remained under pressure due to increases in
labour, contractors, raw materials, fuel, energy and other input costs. Profit for
the six months ended 30 June 2007 was R2,0 billion compared to R1,4 billion
achieved for the comparative period ended 30 June 2006.
The Sishen Expansion Project (“SEP”) continues to progress towards completion
within its budget. The jig technology to be used by SEP allows Kumba to process
“B” grade material (with a Fe content of between 55% and 60%) and
consequently 4,9 Mt of this material was stockpiled during the period, primarily
as feedstock into the jig plant. This had a positive impact on unit costs at Sishen
Mine.
Attributable and headline earnings for the six month period was 502 cents per
share on which a dividend of 350 cents per share has been declared.
Of the profit of R2,0 billion, R406 million is attributable to minority interests in
Sishen Iron Ore Company Proprietary (Limited) (“SIOC”). Exxaro holds a 20%
interest in SIOC and the SIOC Community Development SPV and SIOC Employee
Share Participation Scheme (“Envision”) each hold an interest of 3% in SIOC. For
purposes of the preparation of the condensed consolidated interim financial
report SIOC Community Development SPV and Envision are considered special
purpose entities and are consolidated for accounting purposes. Of total
shareholders’ equity of R2 220 million at 30 June 2007, R158 million is
attributable to these entities through their interests in SIOC.
Safety performance
Safety performance at Thabazimbi Mine has improved with a lost time injury
frequency rate (“LTIFR”) of 0,25, down from 0,31 in December 2006. However,
at Sishen Mine the LTIFR was adversely affected by a higher than usual incidence
of injuries in February and March. Corrective steps have been taken and we are
pleased that the LTIFR trend has reversed. During this time and most regrettably,
the group suffered one fatality at the Sishen Mine during February, when
Mr Samuel Marutle, a truck driver employed by a contracting company, died in
a heavy vehicle incident when his vehicle overturned.
Operating results
On the back of increases in world steel consumption, crude steel production
continued to grow during the six months ended 30 June 2007. Asia continues to
dominate global steel demand, being driven primarily by China. The growth in continued to grow during the six months ended 30 June 2007. Asia continues to dominate global steel demand, being driven primarily by China. The growth in
steel production is reflected in the increase in global demand for iron ore.
Export sales for the first three months of 2007 were based on the 19,0% increase
in the iron ore benchmark price for 2006/2007. An increase of 9,5% in the
benchmark price for the 2007/2008 iron ore year was applicable from 1 April
2007, before accounting for quality premia.
Financial and operational performance for the six months ended 30 June 2007
was strong with revenue increasing 35% from R4,0 billion in 2006 to R5,4 billion.
Operating profit increased R1,0 billion or 52% from R1,9 billion in 2006 to
R2,9 billion, principally as a result of the following:
- The year-on-year weighted average iron ore prices from export sale volumes
increased by 11% from US$47,87 per tonne to US$53,15 per tonne in 2007,
which buoyed operating profit by R497 million;
- The weakening of the average exchange rate of the Rand to the US Dollar
(average spot exchange rates – R7,15/US$1,00 in 2007 compared with
R6,26/US$1,00 in 2006), which contributed R492 million to operating profit;
- Increased sales volumes added R407 million;
- Offset partially by a R382 million increase in operating expenses.
The operating margin increased from 48% for the six month period ended
30 June 2006 to 54% in 2007.
Export sales volumes for the six months ended 30 June 2007 increased by 5% to
11,8 Mt from 11,2 Mt in 2006. Volumes increased partially through the sale in
the first quarter of 2007 of finished product inventory that had built up at the
Saldanha port as a result of the breakdown of equipment at the port during
September 2006. Domestic sales volumes were 18% higher at 4,5 Mt, due to
increased demand from Mittal Steel. Sishen Mine’s production was stable at 14,2
Mt for both periods ended 30 June. Production at Thabazimbi Mine increased
to 1,4 Mt for the six months ended 30 June 2007 compared with 1,1 Mt during
the comparable period of the previous year and contributed R9 million to
operating profit.
Production costs increased due to inflationary pressures, increased maintenance
related activities and external contractor mining costs. An increase in waste
mined by contractors (10 Mt) and contracted prices resulted in external
contractor mining costs increasing twofold. During the first half of 2007
approximately 4,9 Mt of “B” grade material mined at Sishen Mine with a cost
of R227 million was stockpiled. After taking into account this stockpiled
material, Sishen Mines’ unit cost was R78,39 per tonne not withstanding
increased mining activities and inflationary pressures.
The business continued to generate strong cash flows, with an increase of 77%
in cash generated from operations from R1,7 billion to R3,0 billion. These cash
inflows were utilised to fund the capital expenditure on growth projects of
R1,2 billion, to pay taxation of R666 million, to reduce overdraft facilities by
R477 million and to pay dividends. Cash generated from operations and cash on
hand at 30 June 2007 will be utilised to fund the interim dividend.
Project pipeline
Sishen Expansion Project: The construction of SEP is progressing well with the
mechanical aspects of the project substantially complete at 30 June 2007.
Commencement of production is, however, behind schedule due to earlier
engineering difficulties arising from skills shortages and capacity constraints
amongst suppliers and a seven month delay in the delivery of the crushers.
However, through mitigating actions the delay in commencement of production
has been limited to one month. It is anticipated that production will commence
in the third quarter of this year. Current planning and progress on the project
indicates that production of approximately 1,5 Mt can be anticipated from SEP
during the second half of 2007. Full ramp-up to the design capacity of 13 million
tonnes per annum (“Mtpa”) is expected to be achieved during the first half of
2009. This project will apply jig technology to extract 13 Mtpa additional
saleable ore from 21 Mtpa of feedstock, about 8 Mtpa material previously
accounted for as waste and 13 Mtpa from new run-of-mine material (of which
4,9 Mt of material mined was capitalised during the six months to
30 June 2007). Despite the delays it is expected that the project will be
completed within its budget of R5,1 billion, will increase annual production
from the Sishen Mine to 42 Mtpa and contribute in bringing down overall unit
costs at Sishen Mine.
SEPII: A pre-feasibility study to increase production at Sishen Mine, by between
5 to 10 Mtpa after SEP, is due to be completed during 2007. An evaluation of
the product strategy of the mine is part of the pre-feasibility study to ensure
that this strategy is aligned with future market developments as well as the
mining resource and production facilities at the operation.
Sishen South Project: The feasibility study has been finalised. Delays are being
experienced in finalising expansion and rail tariffs with Transnet. The decision on
the implementation of the project is subject to the conclusion of an acceptable
commercial agreement with Transnet for the expansion of the Saldanha rail and
port capacity above the current 47 Mtpa.
Project Phoenix: The feasibility study to extend the life of the Thabazimbi Mine
by some 20 years through exploitation of the in situ low iron content banded
ironstone has recently been completed. In December 2006 Mittal Steel
terminated its involvement in the project. Management continues to evaluate
alternative development scenarios for the commercial exploitation of this
resource.
Falémé – Senegal: The Falémé iron ore deposit is located in South East Senegal.
Kumba International BV (“KIBV”) carried out driling operations at Falémé since
2004. Following notification from Miferso that it disputes KIBV’s rights to the
development of the Falémé iron ore project, KIBV is currently initiating arbitration
proceedings against Miferso and the Government of Senegal. The proceedings
will be governed by the Rules of Arbitration of the International Chamber of
Commerce and wil be confidential.
Mineral resources and reserves
There have been no material changes to the resources and reserves as disclosed in
the 2006 Kumba annual report.
Outlook
The profitability of Kumba is sensitive to the Rand / US Dollar exchange rate. The
current strength of the Rand relative to the US Dollar, if sustained, will adversely
affect profitability. However, Kumba remains positive on the prospects for iron
ore given continued strong Chinese demand and upward pressure on the spot
price, as supply and logistics constraints delay bringing on stream new
production in response to increased demand. The successful commissioning of
SEP will be key in unlocking further value and reduce Sishen Mine unit cost. It is
encouraging that SEP remains within budget and only one month behind target
given the constraints in the engineering and construction industries.
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